Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.041011 0.044592 0.048205 0.052114 0.056220 0.060398 0.064964
2025-09-21 0.035647 0.040953 0.046485 0.052657 0.059326 0.066293 0.074099
2025-09-28 0.032210 0.038846 0.045965 0.054112 0.063124 0.072735 0.083710
2025-10-05 0.028096 0.035555 0.043781 0.053424 0.064321 0.076162 0.089912
2025-10-12 0.025348 0.033510 0.042737 0.053782 0.066492 0.080519 0.097029
2025-10-19 0.023286 0.032050 0.042183 0.054541 0.068987 0.085141 0.104375
2025-10-26 0.021508 0.030762 0.041693 0.055251 0.071326 0.089516 0.111392
2025-11-02 0.018684 0.027976 0.039229 0.053462 0.070612 0.090270 0.114175
2025-11-09 0.016830 0.026266 0.037951 0.052984 0.071346 0.092627 0.118741
2025-11-16 0.015278 0.024831 0.036915 0.052713 0.072256 0.095132 0.123438
2025-11-23 0.014672 0.024599 0.037362 0.054249 0.075333 0.100193 0.131138
2025-11-30 0.013969 0.024181 0.037527 0.055398 0.077916 0.104656 0.138133
2025-12-07 0.013082 0.023477 0.037314 0.056084 0.079972 0.108556 0.144562
2025-12-14 0.012085 0.022550 0.036757 0.056295 0.081419 0.111716 0.150119
2025-12-21 0.011576 0.022297 0.037082 0.057637 0.084282 0.116607 0.157778
2025-12-28 0.010374 0.020928 0.035817 0.056836 0.084388 0.118094 0.161307
2026-01-04 0.009643 0.020223 0.035431 0.057167 0.085914 0.121316 0.166938
2026-01-11 0.009108 0.019783 0.035388 0.057935 0.087989 0.125210 0.173389
2026-01-18 0.008600 0.019351 0.035329 0.058662 0.089999 0.129021 0.179745
2026-01-25 0.007409 0.017702 0.033429 0.056799 0.088570 0.128479 0.180705
2026-02-01 0.006683 0.016775 0.032543 0.056300 0.088902 0.130132 0.184364
2026-02-08 0.006070 0.015992 0.031835 0.056017 0.089497 0.132102 0.188407
2026-02-15 0.005942 0.016077 0.032449 0.057613 0.092615 0.137302 0.196504